• Flying SquidM
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    1097 months ago

    That has literally been their policy since Mao. This is not news.

        • @Maggoty@lemmy.world
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          7 months ago

          Well you’re not wrong. But the last time they tried, it was the Vietnamese communists that stopped them. Of course that was on the ass end of 60 years of near continuous combat experience.

      • @DragonTypeWyvern
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        57 months ago

        Oh, we’re doing the Red Scare Dominoe Theory again?

        It was so fun last time.

      • @rottingleaf@lemmy.zip
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        07 months ago

        I agree about India, but you seem to overestimate Russia.

        The populations and economies are just too different.

        If PRC decides it needs the Russian Far East and wants it militarily, it’s going to take it. Maybe only the southern parts, they don’t need all the empty frozen land. Maybe in 20 years, maybe in 40, maybe in 80 years.

        And in the very long term, if China subdues Central Asia in any way, then it can get a piece of southern Siberia too, but that’s like trying to predict WWII from Wallenstein’s times.

        • @SinningStromgald@lemmy.world
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          07 months ago

          Eventually, if China is successful with its expansions, it will turn to Russia for more. I was talking more in my lifetime what could happen if everyone sits on its hands and lets China do as it pleases.

      • Flying SquidM
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        147 months ago

        The fact that it was the last refuge of the Chinese democratic republic he fought against for one thing.

        • @cecinestpasunbot@lemmy.ml
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          67 months ago

          Let’s be fair, the ROC under the KMT and Chiang Kai-shek was far from democratic despite their claim to Sun Yat-sen’s legacy.

          • @DragonTypeWyvern
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            7 months ago

            As seen with Chiang Kai-Shek’s preferred ally against the Japanese Empire, Nazi Germany. Didn’t work out for him, but if he didn’t join the Allies we’d call him what he was, a corrupt fascist warlord whose only saving grace was not being the Qing Dynasty or Imperial Japan.

            Communist revolutionary armies don’t quintuple their size with volunteers in three years after you technically repelled a genocidal conquest when you rule with the consent of the governed.

            Of course, that was then, and this is now.

            • @crackajack@reddthat.com
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              7 months ago

              Chiang is hardly fascist.

              Also, bear in mind that Chiang got plenty of help from the Soviets too, and the US, before both countries even fought Japan. Chiang was only glad to receive help when he could.

              Communist revolutionary armies don’t quintuple their size with volunteers in three years after you technically repelled a genocidal conquest when you rule with the consent of the governed.

              KMT was corrupt and had to appease various warlords who allied with them. Mao exploited that inherent division to persuade the population to turn against KMT and Chiang. Mao also convinced many KMT soldiers to defect after Chiang’s disastrous Manchurian campaign. There was a AskHistorians thread about it before which explains KMT’s collapse and retreat to Taiwan.

      • @scarabic@lemmy.world
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        37 months ago

        The place is a jewel. Have you learned anything about it? You don’t just randomly become the world’s leading high tech manufacturer. They have great land, great resources, a great trading location, great people, great natural defenses… Any country on Earth would flip to have Taiwan.

  • @markr@lemmy.world
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    347 months ago

    The PRC has always maintained that Taiwan is part of China and will be eventually incorporated back into PRC. (The ROC had the same position, but with respect to the mainland until 1991.) Taiwan was in fact part of China from 1683 until the Japanese started their imperial colonization of China and Korea, taking Taiwan in 1895. It would be news and a really big deal if the PRC stopped making that claim.

    • @zzzz@lemmy.world
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      167 months ago

      … will be eventually incorporated back into PRC

      It has never been part of the PRC.

      • @markr@lemmy.world
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        77 months ago

        As far as the PRC is concerned Taiwan has always been part of the PRC. That was the point. The Taiwan policy of the PRC hasn’t changed.

        • @DragonTypeWyvern
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          27 months ago

          It also depends on your personal definition of a “nation” and whether you consider the Chinese Civil War to be over.

          Fun History Fact:

          Truman wasn’t initially willing to involve the US in defending Taiwan from the PRC finishing the job in 1949, but no one bothered to tell them that, and then the Korean War kicked off and he instituted what would become known as the “Containment” policy.

    • HobbitFoot
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      47 months ago

      Yeah. This is a dance that the USA and China have been doing for half a century. The agreed upon resolution has been that the USA doesn’t declare that Taiwan is a sovereign nation and China doesn’t invade in the near term.

    • @cecinestpasunbot@lemmy.ml
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      97 months ago

      I suspect China believes it can outpace the economic growth of Taiwan in the long run. If Taiwan’s business elites start to think they’re missing out on that growth by opposing reunification, then you’ll see a political shift in Taiwan.

    • @Asafum@feddit.nl
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      57 months ago

      In Chinese: “it sure would be a shame if I happened to lose control of all these bullets and bombs around my your country.”

    • sebinspace
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      27 months ago

      Bold of you to assume they’ll actually count the votes

  • @assembly@lemmy.world
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    217 months ago

    At this point Taiwan has been independent for a good long time so it’s probably time to recognize that. This comes down to what the people in Taiwan want. I’m guessing they are good with the current situation as it keeps tensions down but sooner or later they are going to have to make a hard choice and the US needs to back them on it. Either they vote for reunification (unlikely but you never know) or they unequivocally identify as not-China and completely independent. In the second case the US and world should be prepared to back Taiwan. What will actually happen? Well, if I were Taiwan, I wouldn’t want to piss of a neighbor like that who is likely to go psycho when you officially breakup. It’s like ripping off a bandaid. I would be terrified of what China will do no matter who is baking me up. Taiwan will have to make a choice sooner or later but I completely understand their hesitation.

    • @Socsa@sh.itjust.works
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      57 months ago

      No you don’t get it people wanting to be free is just imperialist propaganda which can only be overcome by even bigger imperialism. They don’t actually want to be free, they’re just brainwashed.

  • @nucleative@lemmy.world
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    7 months ago

    The only way the current strategy of both sides changes is if a major factor changes, otherwise this cold standoff is the most stable place for both sides on the matter.

    It could be that an election in Taiwan is won by a very pro-China party - a similar thing led to rapid changes in Hong Kong. Or an American leader changes tactics dramatically because theres no longer an incentive to support Taiwan.

    Taiwan needs to be careful to guard against either situation happening.

    Differing from many superpowers that came before the US, the US has a reputation of following through on what it says it will do long term, and the vast geopolitical diplomatic reach of the Americans means that for now, China would experience too high an economic cost to try and change this balance unilaterally.

      • @go_go_gadget@lemmy.world
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        07 months ago

        Especially when you consider that Biden and the powerful forces who actually get to decide how “the USA” responds to this are not for humanitarian reasons. “The USA” just wants nuclear launch sites as close as possible to China.

        • @Maggoty@lemmy.world
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          07 months ago

          Most of China’a infrastructure is on the coast. We can achieve that with a couple SSBNs lurking thousands of kilometers off the coast.

          Bonus points if one surfaces where it can be photographed, but in international water, every so often. Just as a reminder.

            • @Maggoty@lemmy.world
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              07 months ago

              Are just following me around? Hey while you’re here, are the people of Xinjiang Chinese or not? I just want to know if I should refer to them as an oppressed population or an occupied country?

                • @Maggoty@lemmy.world
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                  07 months ago

                  Oh no, oh gosh. I’m sorry to be the one to tell you this but I was told that if I criticized the Chinese government I have to be a Sinophobe.

                  It’s okay, we have groups. And cookies.

    • @chitak166@lemmy.world
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      -97 months ago

      It could be that an election in Taiwan is won by a very pro-China party

      For some reason, I don’t see this ever happening. Even if it does happen, I can easily see Western propaganda painting it as a sham-election or something.

      They’re just that brazen with their bullshit to protect their interests.

      • @cecinestpasunbot@lemmy.ml
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        57 months ago

        While no party in Taiwan is openly in favor of reunification, there are major parties like the KMT and the TPP that are in favor of building a closer relationship with mainland China. Combined they are currently polling higher than the DPP which is considered to be the “pro independence” party.

        So while I would agree that peaceful reunification is not possible in the near term, i think changes in the geopolitical dynamics between the US and China could make it more likely.

  • @badbytes@lemmy.world
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    67 months ago

    How nice. So Taiwan leader can rule over all China. We don’t need China anymore. So generous of Xi.

  • @xkforce@lemmy.world
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    27 months ago

    The US won’t allow it given how much industry there is of strategic importance to the US.

  • @EvergreenGuru@lemmy.world
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    -277 months ago

    Like Hong Kong, Taiwan will rejoin the rest of China. We want to believe that Taiwan is some bastion of freedom, but it’s literally just a holdout for the losers of China’s civil war. For a while the US tried to pretend that Taiwan was the real China, but eventually changed tact and has been trying to drive a wedge and use Taiwan as a military outpost. This has been US policy since the 1950s! (Most people in the US weren’t even born yet, and Joe Biden was only 7 years old when the Chinese civil war ended.)

    This would be the equivalent of the Confederacy setting up shop in Puerto Rico and Russia supporting them as the “real” United States, then back-peddling while planning to use Puerto Rico as a military outpost. In the 1960s a similar situation happened when the Soviets tried to station nukes in Cuba and the US threatened to end the world.

    Just like the US couldn’t be threatened, China can’t be threatened. You can’t hold a country of 1.5 billion people at gunpoint. You can’t destroy the 3 Gorges Dam without China nuking the US. The US needs to pull back on this position they’ve had since the 1950s and stop trying to bully China.

    • @boywar3@lemmy.world
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      87 months ago

      …doesn’t China have a “no first strike” rule for their nuclear weapons? :P

      As for not bullying China…maybe they should stop trying to bully their neighbors before asking to not be bullied lol

      • @EvergreenGuru@lemmy.world
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        -87 months ago

        Both China and Taiwan have claimed that they are the rulers of China and only one of them is right. For Taiwan to be a neighbor it would have to cease being Chinese, which it has never done. Taiwan is still officially “The Republic of China.”

        • @boywar3@lemmy.world
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          17 months ago

          Taiwan continues to keep the name because it mustn’t give China a cassus belli to invade. Essentially, by keeping their name, they show their support for a “one china policy” and keep the door open to peaceful reunification. If Taiwan decided to formally be a separate thing, the PRC would no longer be able to “peacefully reunify with a rebellious province,” and would be much likelier to invade.

          https://www.reuters.com/article/us-taiwan-passport-idUSKBN25T0JA/

          (I don’t care for Reuters, but the facts are easily verifiable elsewhere)

          The PRC got pissy when Taiwan changed its passports to read “TAIWAN” in big letters and have “Republic of China” in small letters. What purpose would they have in being mad about a name change on a foreign nation’s passport (particularly as it de-emphasizes the “China” bit)?

          Furthermore, if you look into history, Taiwan got rid of its claims to “all of China” decades ago

          https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2002/09/10/167505

        • @rottingleaf@lemmy.zip
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          07 months ago

          In Europe there are two states, the Federal Republic of Germany and Austria, coexisting just fine (there’s also Switzerland, no government of which ever pretended to be the unifying center of Germany).

          That’s just a counterexample to shoot down your bullshit without many words.

    • @chitak166@lemmy.world
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      -37 months ago

      I like seeing other sides like this.

      Feels like posts like yours would be removed on reddit because of how infested that site is with propagandists just supporting their agenda.