Summary: the ceasefire did not hold, Kurds are withdrawing and doing a general mobilization, Kobani is under siege, imprisoned Islamic State fighters broke out of an abandoned prison, etc. The Syrian civil war has basically started again.
The situation seems to be extensively borked. I would estimate that while suffering a series of military defeats, SDF cannot look after the Islamic State militants it had previously taken prisoner. There is confirmation for a few hundreds escaping, but thousands more are likely to take leave from the low-security camps. Despite the Syrian government’s efforts to enforce a curfew, their comrades who are free and armed, have already called for breakout attempts, and these are likely occurring.
There has been credible news that the Kurdish-majority city of Kobani is again under siege, and running low on food supplies.
There has been credible news that the SDF is trying to conduct a general mobilization, to multiply their manpower and counter the Syrian army.
There have been claims of the Turkish armed forces supporting the Syrian government with air strikes. Meanwhile, SDF has requested cross-border assistance from Iraqi Kurds and of course the US - but the US has been unresponsive.
And the ceasefire… of course it was violated almost immediately after being presented. Most likely, lots of troops even didn’t get to know that a ceasefire existed.
Welcome everyone to the 15th year of Syrian civil war, still vigorous as always. :o With the Western countries dealing with a crazy president in the US, I am not optimistic about anyone stabilizing Syria.
This is a good time to remember all the people talking up the hope of the uprisings. Yay, they are throwing off the yolk, I must admit I uncharacteristically for me bought into it a bit, and nothing better ever resulted from any of these countries.
That is something to keep in mind with places like Iran, even though they are not I do not think at a civil war stage, despite what Israel and the US may feed to our media to tell us. But if they were, it would end up like this, multiplied by several factors. Nothing good would come of it.
Obviously Iran right now is still de facto at war with Israel and the US and the latter just associated the protesters with them, they will be ruthlessly crushed. Pawns to be sacrificed. Except the chess analogies assume a level playing field.