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Cake day: 2025年6月30日

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  • Kudos to anyone finishing that article. While it summed up most of the situation pretty nicely, I have a few nits to pick.

    The biggest one is that the article sets Orbán up as a mastermind. While he is definitely waaaay more clever than his New World counterpart, he doesn’t have his finger on the pulse and has never had Hungary’s best interest at heart (or at least since 2010). The team does do a crazy amount of polling, but they also just use the old trick of fearmongering through media. Hungary is very EU-positive, so they have to work tooth and nail to make Brussels an outside enemy. During the Syrian humanitarian crisis he saw the opportunity to play the xenophobe card, but betting on fear of ‘the other’ is ruling 101. Anyhow, still better to think more of him than underestimate.

    Also, Magyar Péter is best defined as a tool. In like 99% of the meanings. Most of us wouldn’t trust him as far as we can throw him. What worries me is that the meta isn’t changing, at least on Hungarian reddit. Users or trolls downvote any topic that wants to discuss anything besides the best case scenario. This seems detrimental to risk management.

    The most probable solution is the grayest one. Tisza takes over to an extent, Fidesz is still locked in (economically, in the foundation), and we need to put aside personal political preferences just one more time. This way Fidesz loses the choke-hold of Europe, as Hungary becomes deadlocked with itself (as we tend to). Fico steps up as the Russian veto, or they find some heinous way to interfere through that horrid patriot party. I mean this is still one of the better outcomes. Anyhow, don’t forget to hug your Eastern European today. They proabably need it.


  • Kudos to anyone finishing that article. While it summed up most of the situation pretty nicely, I have a few nits to pick.

    The biggest one is that the article sets Orbán up as a mastermind. While he is definitely waaaay more clever than his New World counterpart, he doesn’t have his finger on the pulse and has never had Hungary’s best interest at heart (or at least since 2010). The team does do a crazy amount of polling, but they also just use the old trick of fearmongering through media. Hungary is very EU-positive, so they have to work tooth and nail to make Brussels an outside enemy. During the Syrian humanitarian crisis he saw the opportunity to play the xenophobe card, but betting on fear of ‘the other’ is ruling 101. Anyhow, still better to think more of him than underestimate.

    Also, Magyar Péter is best defined as a tool. In like 99% of the meanings. Most of us wouldn’t trust him as far as we can throw him. What worries me is that the meta isn’t changing, at least on Hungarian reddit. Users or trolls downvote any topic that wants to discuss anything besides the best case scenario. This seems detrimental to risk management.

    The most probable solution is the grayest one. Tisza takes over to an extent, Fidesz is still locked in (economically, in the foundation), and we need to put aside personal political preferences just one more time. This way Fidesz loses the choke-hold of Europe, as Hungary becomes deadlocked with itself (as we tend to). Fico steps up as the Russian veto, or they find some heinous way to interfere through that horrid patriot party. I mean this is still one of the better outcomes. Anyhow, don’t forget to hug your Eastern European today. They proabably need it.





  • Naw, I’m not giving Trump a cent more than he deserves. He is as good of a troll as anyone before 4chan could get, but he has nothing else going for him.

    I am more concerned about the background service. Like who were the ones that composed the newest sandwich bill? I feel if we get caught up in just the emotional part (he is trolling the whole world, after all), we won’t see the actual harm being caused behind the scenes.

    It feels that even this proposal is only there to distract from the actual harm being caused.





  • At first I thought it might be a standing point for Orbán to point out that they want this (but the bad EU, yadda yadda), but after actually reading that garbage of a propaganda piece, I can only imagine that part is boiler-plate, and noone along the chain caught it or could be bothered with correcting it.

    Trump is serving up the distmantling of most US soft powers. Like how is this not a game of chicken for us to bunch up on Ireland and tell them no more fucking around with appl and alphabet. I’d love nothing more than a third level bureaucrat tucked away in Strassbourg to calculate exactly how much societal and global harm these companies cause. We could shift that into dollars (somehow?), and make sure they pay that tax, or we start filtering their sites. I rarely believe restriction is the way to go, but nothing would really be lost here.





  • I had a similar argument with a friend, and I think he won that time. It came out of left field and rephrases the whole thought experiment.

    Instead of me defending the argument, how would you interpret a clone incident? Would you get ‘the other feed’ as well? We have the sleep cycle where we don’t actively get input (even though our conciousness is present during dreams to a certain extent). So if a transporter clone incident rebuilds the person on the other side, but an original instant could go on experiencing a life that wouldn’t be if the transporter functioned correctly.

    Hopefully that took the soul out of your argument!



  • Yeah, there definitely are some waved away elements that are basically magic. I’m just binging TNG now, but I saw the Lower Decks tribute to many-a transporter incidents.

    I mean if you can transport and not at the same time (the copy version), it is not hard to think that once that buffer is cleared on the one side, it’s game over man.




  • And some even got the cyberpunkiness almost right (Johnny Nmemonic swung so hard!). I think for every visionary piece, we have 100 lost contemporary ‘trash’ (not trash, more like a picture of the spirit of the time) that has already been lost.

    I mean Star Trek was pretty wickedly ahead of it’s time for all of the creator’s shortcomings. Still can’t believe that teleporting doesn’t kill you every time.