Russia needs to be able to produce enough weapons to wage war. That is also true for any potential war against EU members, such as the Baltic states or Poland.
Also Russia and Ukraine can both be defeated in the same peace deal. Just look at the British Empire and WW2. The UK one, but it lost its Empire.
It means that the finance minister is handing out money to investors. If a bond issue is that oversubscribed the risk/reward is wrong. I this case the rate is too high. Inflation is at about 2% in the Eurozone and Estonia has very little debt, due to having a debt cut due to its independence
Always those Americans! I want to export European weirdos to Russia too…
We will know in a few decades, but when you have a Ukrainian special forces soldiers investigated and the rest of the crew is Ukrainian it stinks pretty badly.
Blowing up Nordstream after Russia already shut it down for quite some time was also pretty dumb. Especially while still allowing gas flow through Ukraine itself.
Anything making cars more expensive is a good thing.
I hear you’re a racist now, Father.
E12 starts at 4.170,32 € gross and up to rises 6.516,74 € depending on experience. That is gross. That is for a job, which is low stress and you can not be fired unless you pretty much commit a crime on the workplace.
It is a failure of the EU, that there are companies with market caps over EUR 100billion. That company size means it has a monopoly or a near monopoly. That is why the US has so many of those types of companies. All of them are in either a monopoly or at least only have one or two competitors. The situation in China is similar, but you need to add massive government support.
There are a lot of different options to escalate, without starting a full scale war. Giving Ukraine certain weapons is an option. Long range missiles and warships come to mind. Latvia could for example produce long range drones for Ukraine.
Latvia is not even close to Ukraine.
Embassies are used to coordinate spies. The actual terrorists often have had contacts with the embassy spy staff, but they use other passports. So by monitoring the embassy staff, you are able to find the actual terrorist spies. So when you find a Russia diplomat in the wrong country, you start to follow them.
Monitoring them anywhere in the schengen is easier than monitoring them at specific and significantly smaller subset of anywhere (at the borders)?
Yes! How do you know they are crossing a border in Schengen? There are not permanent border checkpoints and few border patrols. So you have to be lucky to catch them in a random patrol. So you either have to know their locations at all times, hence monitor them anywhere, or you need to reintroduce border checkpoints all across the Schengen Area, which means staffing thousands of km of borders and monitoring the rest of the borders for illegal crossings as well. Obviously that destroys the entire advantage of Schengen in the first place.
That would be optimal. However if someone objects to solution of lesser intensity, then this optimal one is not likely to succeed, is it?
Germany expelled so many embassy staff that Russia shut down 4 out of 5 consulats. Italy also kicked out a bunch of diplomatic staff.
Because Raiffeisen Bank made a hell of a lot of money in Russia and when all the other Western banks pulled out, they made even more.
Even that peace deal, would be a massive loss for Putin. Before the full scale invasion he controlled Crimea and large parts of Donetzk and Luhansk. He would loose that. Further more he lost a lot of men in the fighting. According to Ukraine it is over half a million casulties already. Lots of Russians also left the country to avoid fighting. That is not to mention the losses of huge parts of the old Soviet stockpiles. Then he lost most of the national wealth fund. In terms of natural gas exports the EU has most of those covered without Russian gas already. Those are long term contracts, so Russia will only be able to take back part of what they lost. All of that in a shrinking market thanks to new policy within the EU to try to save gas. Cutting military spending, means a lot of Russians loose well paying jobs, which is going to tank the economy.
In other words, that peace deal would be a massive strategic loss. It might not be fair, but it would save Ukranian lifes and might very well save more money in damages, then Russia can pay in reparations.
Actually no. China is afraid of Western sanctions.
Not even! They only have to make a peace deal with Ukraine, which restores Ukraines borders. Reparations, trials and so forth would be nice, but the war is extremely expensive for Ukraine as well. So they probably agree to letting Russia go off light, if that ends the war quickly.
It also means that there are no gas and oil production firms with an HQ in Germany. The rest of Wintershall DEA holding the Russian assets is mainly used to get insurance money, as Putin stole all those assets. So they might get the money back, but probably not the assets.
That puts Germany in an intressting position. Being the 9th largest oil consumer and 8th largest gas consumer certainly makes Germany dependent on other countries, but that should change. So bigger and better lobbying against climate change from what is now the third largest economy in the world.
There are a lot of countries, which Russia wants to invade besides Ukraine. I mentioned a few and there are a lot more in the Caucasus and Central Asia. Even Ukraine would benefit, even in a total defeat. That would mean underground warfare against Russia and a weak Russia would be hurt badly by that. Ukraine is just much harder to control then Chechnya, if they do not want to be a part of Russia.
No, they mostly just trade with Russia. They are not sending aid. If Russia collapses Iran and North Korea would be unhappy, but they will not intervene. Turkey and China do not care at all. Both of them can benefit from it, if they play it right. I am just saying Central Asia and for China parts of the Russian Far East.
For example one, which freezes the current situation. Russia looses, as a victory was always to take all of Ukraine or at least the territories it claims to be Russian, which it does not control and Kursk. Ukraine also looses as it has already claimed victory would be taking back control over all territory, which is internationaly recognised as being Ukrainian. So both sides have been defeated. That is actually a very likely outcome.