A few weeks ago, a study by Copenhagen University researchers Peter and Susanne Ditlevsen concluded that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is likely to pass a tipping point already this century, most probably around mid-century. Given the catastrophic consequences of an AMOC breakdown, the study made quite a few headlines but also met some skepticism. Now that the dust has settled, here some thoughts on the criticisms that have been raised about this study. ...
They say century not decade. Mid century is 2 decades away.
But scientists are the most conservative people I have ever met or worked with. They are almost certainly underplaying the timeline so as to make their conclusion more solid and defensible.