🚨🚨New Voting Intention🚨🚨 Labour lead is twenty-four percentage points in the latest results from Deltapoll.
Con 24% (-4)
Lab 48% (+2)
Lib Dem 11% (+2)
Other 17% (-1)
Fieldwork: 14th - 17th July 2023 | Sample: 1,000 GB adults | (Changes from 7th-10th July 2023)
Flavible:
| Party | Pred % | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|
| CON 🌳 | 24.0% | 119 |
| LAB 🌹 | 48.0% | 425 |
| LD 🔶 | 11.0% | 47 |
| REFUK ➡️ | 6.0% | 0 |
| Green 🌍 | 5.0% | 1 |
| SNP 🎗️ | 3% | 32 |
| PC 💮 | 1% | 4 |
Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries’):
| Party | 2019 Votes | 2019 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON 🌳 | 44.7% | 376 | 24.0% | 0 | 309 | -309 | 67 |
| LAB 🌹 | 33.0% | 197 | 48.0% | 320 | 0 | +320 | 517 |
| LIB 🔶 | 11.8% | 8 | 11% | 13 | 0 | +13 | 21 |
| Reform ➡️ | 2.1% | 0 | 6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Green 🌍 | 2.8% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| SNP 🎗️ | 4.0% | 48 | 3.3% | 4 | 29 | -25 | 23 |
| PlaidC 💮 | 0.5% | 2 | 0.5% | 1 | 1 | +0 | 2 |
| Other ⬜️ | 1.1% | 0 | 2.2% | 1 | 0 | +1 | 1 |
| N.Ire ⬜️ | - | 18 | - | 0 | 0 | +0 | 18 |
Scotland EC Break-Down
| Con | Lab | Lib | REF | Green | SNP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 34% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 34% |
PrincipleFish
That would be a brutal election result. I’d hope it’d inspire Starmer to be more radical but it is more likely to entrench him on the right of the party and suppress any kind of dissent.