• TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    13
    arrow-down
    5
    ·
    8 months ago

    The point is nobody can know that with any certainty.

    Well we still have to make decisions and decide strategy in the face of uncertainty. Its a yes or no question that I asked, and you can answer it with a yes or a no.

    Do you think Biden can stick with his current approach to Gaza and Israel and win the general election?

    • Telorand@reddthat.com
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      5
      arrow-down
      8
      ·
      8 months ago

      There’s a third answer: I don’t know. That’s my answer.

      If your plan is strategy, it doesn’t matter what my opinion is. Assume the worst outcome and work as if you can change it.

        • Telorand@reddthat.com
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          4
          arrow-down
          6
          ·
          8 months ago

          To answer otherwise would be lying. “I don’t know” is the only appropriate answer when you don’t know.

          Your dislike of uncertainty is not my problem.

          • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            7
            arrow-down
            4
            ·
            8 months ago

            Its not a dislike, its a recognition that in the real world, we have to make decisions in spite of uncertainty.

            In the real world, we have to make decisions based on incomplete information all time.

            • Telorand@reddthat.com
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              4
              arrow-down
              4
              ·
              8 months ago

              Sure, but that doesn’t mean this is one of those times. Giving my opinion on if Biden’s current trajectory will tank his chances is tantamount to nothing. And so I say again:

              I. Don’t. Know. I am not obligated to abstain from intellectual honesty just to satisfy your curiosity.