Prominent conservative legal scholars are increasingly raising a constitutional argument that 2024 Republican candidate Donald Trump should be barred from the presidency because of his actions to overturn the previous presidential election result.

  • BURN@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I’d guess electorally it’ll be similar, but by count it’ll be a larger gap this time. Not that popular votes matter in the us

    • rbhfd@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      There’s been roughly 1 million Covid deaths in the US since the pandemic started. Given a very gracious split of 70-30% between R-D voters, it means that there was a net loss of 400k Republican voters. (I hate to be talking about 1M lives lost in such a dry way)

      During the 2020 presidential elections, Biden won the popular vote by 7 million votes. Even with ignoring the fact that the deadliest part of the pandemic was before the election, it’s not enough to have a big enough impact on the popular vote.

      In swing states where the difference is 10k votes, that’s a whole different story. But then I would say that voter turnout is a much bigger thing to focus on.

      • BURN@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Thanks for the numbers, looks like you’re probably right.

        Turnout ultimately will be the deciding factor again