• RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Mark my words:

    Trump will win, and it will be largely because of people who refuse to support Biden due to Palestine.

    I will be truly happy if time proves me wrong.

    • CptEnder@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      We should be criticizing our old, conservative president Biden. He needs to 180 his stance.

      Also not voting for him in Nov is vapid and invalidates any defense of the Palestinian people you have.

      It sucks, but it’s reality.

      • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        It sucks, but it’s reality.

        Yep.

        We legitimately have zero options besides voting for Biden.

        And I sincerely hope enough voters realize that, because trump will be worse.

        The only thing we can do till 2028 is make a lot of noise about how this shit is unacceptable and Dems need to do better

        Unfortunately the DNC knows that while we say it’s unacceptable, we still have to vote Biden or risk trump.

        Which is why the DNC has spent 30 years drifting further and further right. They have captive voters and are willing to risk Republican rule so Dems can be as rightwing as possible.

        • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          This is honestly the best take on the issue I’ve seen so far.

          I am the first person to say we need to break the two-party stranglehold on politics. We need independent candidates in office yesterday. But this election is the abso-fucking-lutely worst time to make a run at that, because that third party vote WILL be a vote for Trump. And if you firmly believe that third party or independent politicians have a place, elect them to your local city council or school board or state legislature. That is where they will make a real, actionable difference.

          A vote against Biden, no matter who for, is a vote for Trump. No amount of TikTok “well ackshually” will change that reality.

          • vikingqueef@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            7 months ago

            last election biden and harris were on the working families party line which is third party. i’m not sure this time around but do y’all even know how third party works?

          • HACKthePRISONS@kolektiva.social
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            8 months ago

            >that third party vote WILL be a vote for Trump.

            I object to the characterization of candidates as "third party, but as far as I know, no one calls the Republicans a third party.

          • HACKthePRISONS@kolektiva.social
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            8 months ago

            >A vote against Biden, no matter who for, is a vote for Trump.

            this is election misinformation. a vote for anyone except trump cannot be counted as a vote for trump.

            • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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              8 months ago

              The election is a tug of war. Trump and his supporters are pulling on the right. Biden and his supporters are pulling on the left.

              When you vote for an independent candidate, you are removing force that could have been used to pull against Trump and redirecting that force towards a candidate who has zero chance of winning. A vote for an independent candidate is a vote for Trump.

              The only valid retort to this is “well I wasn’t going to vote anyway” and anyone who feels that way can shut the fuck up about everything.

              • centof@lemm.ee
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                8 months ago

                A vote for an independent candidate is a vote for Trump.

                No. It is a vote for an independent candidate.

                • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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                  8 months ago

                  Which will remove yet another barrier to Trump becoming president.

                  I’m all for breaking the two-party stranglehold but do it in a local election where it will make a difference. This year is the absolute worst year to try a failed presidential run.

                  • centof@lemm.ee
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                    8 months ago

                    I never advised anyone to vote for an independent candidate. I am simply correcting your misleading rhetoric.

                    Good advice on focusing locally for third parties.

              • HACKthePRISONS@kolektiva.social
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                8 months ago

                >When you vote for an independent candidate, you are removing force that could have been used to pull against Trump

                Jill Stein and Cornel West are running against trump.

                • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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                  8 months ago

                  That’s nice. They’ll lose, and the momentum put to that independent candidate is momentum that could have been used against Trump. Voting for either of them is a vote for “I am not interested in what happens in this country, and sincerely hope Trump wins. Because instead of voting against him, instead I choose to throw away my vote by making some kind of ‘statement’ that will never be heard by anyone.”

                • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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                  8 months ago

                  It absolutely is. You’re removing a vote that could have been used to stop Trump and throwing it into a candidate who will not win. You are, quite literally saying, “I am completely fine with another Trump presidency”.

                • acceptable_pumpkin@lemmy.world
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                  8 months ago

                  There you go again with no concept of how politics works in this country. You are either a shill, or a completely naive person. A vote for a 3rd party candidate is as effective as not voting in the national results. Can you at least see that? When electoral votes are tallied, and NONE go to a 3rd party candidate, those votes are wasted.

                  I wish this country had a different voting system other than first past the goal posts, but it doesn’t so you need to be realistic in your vote.

                  • HACKthePRISONS@kolektiva.social
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                    8 months ago

                    if voting for an independent candidate counts as not voting (that’s a lie), and not voting is the same as voting for trump, does that mean that if i vote for trump, it is 2 votes? no.

                    you’re spreading misinformation.

        • vikingqueef@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          7 months ago

          We legitimately have zero options besides voting for Biden.

          If they stop funding israel and stop giving them arms, would it not get those votes back? are all of you really thinking biden would risk trump winning by refusing to halt arms and cash to israel and let the UN come to a ceasefire resolution? if its so dire, i think THEY have a responsibility to us and the palestinians. for one, all the money going to israel could go to be put to fixing our infrastructure, not destroying gaza’s. two, aren’t we going to need all these missiles and bombs for when we inevitably go to war with russia?

          The only thing we can do till 2028 is make a lot of noise about how this shit is unacceptable and Dems need to do better

          but just like every other election cycle, they will get their votes, continue on w/ biz as usual and then try to win our hearts again and/or fearmonger us again at the next election. with aipac and other big money donors doxxing and ousting progressives, i don’t foresee a functional left after this election, regardless. however, people are mobilizing over this issue and rightly so, its fucking genocide. there is no acceptable amount of genocide and there is no justifiable reason to continue funding and arming it.

          • PRUSSIA_x86@lemmy.world
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            8 months ago

            Okay but it has. The party as a whole moves a glacial pace because the bulk of the population still holds the same neo-liberal beliefs that they did eight years ago, but the left has been very quickly (in political terms) growing and flexing its muscles, considering it’s a minority group. Give it time, these kinds of shifts can take decades.

            • winterayars@sh.itjust.works
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              8 months ago

              There was a national poll a couple years ago that showed a majority (>50%) of people thought burning down the police precinct in Minneapolis was justified. If asked where on the political spectrum that position was before George Floyd was murdered i bet most people would have said extreme Left (or maybe extreme Right).

              The country is, in a lot of ways, more ready to be Leftist than the Democratic Party and the Dems are really bad at capturing that energy.

        • KoboldCoterie@pawb.social
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          8 months ago

          They have captive voters and are willing to risk Republican rule so Dems can be as rightwing as possible.

          It’s simply the logical thing for them to do, in the present state of things.

          The far left / moderate left voters are captive for the reason you note. The party is closely aligned with center-left viewpoints, so they have their votes. The far / moderate right voters are all voting republican. It’s the swing voters / true centrists / center right voters who are up in the air, so those are the people the dems have to appease. So they drift further and further towards their viewpoints.

          Unfortunately we can’t fix this situation without a healthy show that they don’t have the far left / moderate left votes guaranteed, and need to start paying attention to what we want, too… but we can’t do that without accepting a republican president, which we certainly can’t do right now. So we’re stuck. And it’ll just keep happening that way, because as dems drift further left, the republicans are just falling off the right end of the scale, and they keep falling further every year.

          • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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            8 months ago

            It’s simply the logical thing for them to do, in the present state of things

            Except the last time we had a true progressive campaign…

            A lot of those 1/3 of voter showed up. And we flipped a bunch of “red states” that the DNC had given up on those.

            It’s not that those people won’t vote, they just won’t vote for candidates like Biden and Hillary.

            But they turned up for Obama in 08.

            We found something that worked, and the DNC’s response was to tighten down primaries so there wouldn’t be another upset.

            Which has progressed to them straight up removing an entire states delegates.

            Unfortunately we can’t fix this situation without a healthy show that they don’t have the far left / moderate left votes guaranteed, and need to start paying attention to what we want, to

            I disagree.

            I think if a moderate loses because they don’t get the progressive votes, then nothing will change. They’ll say that progressives are unreliable and this means they need to go further right.

            Because we have decades of recent history that shows even if they still get the “lesser evil” votes, they’ll still say the same thing if they lose.

            The only option is primaries, which is why I’m so pissed the DNC just vetoed a state primary by yanking delegates away.

            If we don’t even have the primaries where the DNC openly say they can ignore results…

            We’re kind of out of options.

            And I legitimately don’t know what the path forward is. Or why everyone else isn’t shitting bricks right now.

            If the DNC doesn’t get substantial pushback, they’re not going to just give up on this veto they just decided they’ll have.

            Hell, Republicans will probably keep control of NH’s state goverment for the next four years, if they don’t agree to the DNCs demands about primary order, will NH Dems not get a say in 2028 either?

        • ZK686@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          I’ll be voting for Trump. I was in favor of his tough stance on illegal immigration, and I still am. Bring out the pitchforks Lemmy!

            • ZK686@lemmy.world
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              8 months ago

              Isn’t this the Politics community? I mean, are all politics allowed…or, ONLY Left an Democrat politics? Smells very…Redditish to me…

              • Rapture@lemmy.world
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                8 months ago

                There isnt a single positive thing on your profile, even on other boards, why would i assume you are here in good faith?

                • ZK686@lemmy.world
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                  8 months ago

                  I’m here because I like to discuss politics. However, just like Reddit…it seems as if this community only leans one way. Sorry to inform you that politics in America is very broad…it’s not just about Democrats and Liberals.

            • winterayars@sh.itjust.works
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              8 months ago

              Not that i’m in favor of either of those two, particularly Jill Stein, but i think a slice of grilled cheese could beat Trump. As long as it has a reasonable campaign behind it.

              • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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                8 months ago

                That’s nice. They’ll lose, and the momentum put to that independent candidate is momentum that could have been used against Trump.

                Voting for an independent candidate for president is standing on your rooftop and screaming “I LOVE TRUMP AND HOPE HE BECOMES PRESIDENT IN 2024”.

      • GodlessCommie@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Then you better start pushing your party to primary him or get someone else in there. His shitty numbers didnt start overnight, theyve seen the writing on the wall and refused to acknowledge it.

      • winterayars@sh.itjust.works
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        8 months ago

        Biden’s arrogance on this is incredible, though of course he’s part of the party establishment so that’s to be expected. “You aren’t allowed to complain about anything and if we don’t win this election it’s all your fault” is not, it turns out, a winning campaign slogan.

    • Son_of_dad@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Eventhough Trump moved the embassy to Jerusalem and supports the complete destruction of gaza

      • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        They don’t care.

        The people pledging to vote against Biden over Israel are typically armchair politicians who get all their news from echo chambers. Facts and reality don’t matter; they honestly believe they are “sending a message” and “making a stand”. The reality is that they’re the 2024 version of 2016’s insufferable #voteswap techbros.

        • KevonLooney@lemm.ee
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          8 months ago

          Those people don’t vote. People are either undecided until the election or already decided. I could fill out the ballot right now.

          • Reptorian@lemmy.zip
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            8 months ago

            Bernie voters were actually voters of Hillary Clinton. It’s the moderates that went to Trump in the states that mattered.

            • acceptable_pumpkin@lemmy.world
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              8 months ago

              I’m talking about the ones who were going on about “if Bernie doesn’t win, I’m voting for Trump”. Heck, I wanted Bernie to win, but no way in hell was I going to vote for Trump.

              • Reptorian@lemmy.zip
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                8 months ago

                I know that’s the cohort you refer to. The bigger factor are moderates within swing states. Look, I’m not saying progressive votes don’t matter. I’m a strong Bernie supporter and progressives as well myself. Clearly their votes do matter, and increasingly to the point where candidates can’t ignore them. But, at the time, it’s not them being the most influential factor.

    • Blackbeard@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      And then Trump will make things infinitely worse, and we’ll have to fight that same stupid battle over who’s to blame for the next 4 years. Wash, rinse, repeat.

      • RandomPancake@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Yes indeed, but the people pledging to vote against Biden because Israel don’t care. Or don’t believe. Or sincerely think Trump will be better.

        • Shyfer@ttrpg.network
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          8 months ago

          Or they don’t want to vote for a pro genocide President. Tbh, I get it. Your vote is your stamp of approval for a candidate for a lot of people. It’s the only way to say their approval that a lot of people have, their only voice.

        • acceptable_pumpkin@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          They’re either naive people with a sheltered existence, or bad faith actors. May as well write in a candidate for all the good it would do.

    • Chainweasel@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Yeah, I don’t understand hating Biden for something that Netanyahu is doing. And there’s only so much Biden could do other than try to play peacekeeper, which he’s been doing. Pretty much any other actions require congressional support. Biden isn’t a king, he can’t unilaterally declare that we’re ending all support for Israel.
      And yet an insane number of people act like he’s over there killing Palestinians with his bare hands.

      • Blackbeard@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Not to mention Israel is absolutely the most important ally we have in the middle east. As lovely as it would be to openly shit on them and Saudi Arabia for being inhumane jerks, we just don’t have that option. The second we alienate Israel is the second WWIII becomes virtually inevitable. Biden’s choosing between shitty options and shittier options, and like it or not, we need foreign allies in strategic locations, especially since Pax Americana is rapidly collapsing.

        • Shyfer@ttrpg.network
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          8 months ago

          If we helped set up a two state solution then we’d have another ally over there. Hell, if we had a one state solution, we’d have one more ally and one less genocidal apartheid state to leash. And tbh, it’s probably better we’re not over there fucking things up anymore.

          • Blackbeard@lemmy.world
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            8 months ago

            I agree, and to be perfectly honest it’s maddening to see that we had SO many generations to make the 2-state solution happen and they’re still stuck in a bloodthirsty morass. I don’t disagree that there are certain benefits to not being the world’s police anymore, not least of which is avoided exhaustion from the ongoing moral hypocrisy, but I can assure you there are very real costs, too. We might not actually like a world with someone else as the police force, and by the time that happens, it’ll be too late for us to have anything to say about it.

            • Shyfer@ttrpg.network
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              8 months ago

              Tbh the time with the US as the world police isn’t great. It’s great in the US because we don’t ever get attacked, can import the financial success from our victories, can come back home after and are basically naive to conflicts at home. But I don’t think they’d say the same for all of South America, Asia, the Middle East, or Africa.

              I know China is spooky, but the US has destabilized so many democracies and ruined so many countries in its attempt to stop the spooky ghost of communism to keep its financial stranglehold on its imperial sphere that a multipolar world could be better. He waxes poetic about the time of peace from interstate conflict but ignores how the US has arrested the world from progress, trapping us in this late capitalist hell-hole the working class is in now. There’s still violence form the upper class on the poor, or the Imperial core on the third world.

              I also noticed he links to an article on the USSR attacking countries but that doesn’t even compare to all the wars we’ve been involved in where we didn’t have to be, usually on the side of the colonial or imperial power or the dictator. And a lot of the military build up in countries such as the USSR, Cuba, or North Korea is in response to the US threatening war all the time during the Cold War and having the capability and will to enact it. They put forward the possibility of a first strike with nukes in all those countries. It was public knowledge that the US refused to live in a world with communism and even when countries would want it themselves without the USSR doing anything, the US would see that as a reason to interfere, trying to connect it to the USSR anyway. They’ve succeeded, but that doesn’t mean they’ve made the world better, just the US richer. Plus, a lot of the latent conflicts that are coming to the surface in that article are a result of Western interference in local, civil conflicts during the Cold War - such as the China-Taiwan or North Korea-South Korea ones. Not all, like the Serbia-Kosovo stuff, but a lot. Maybe if we had just left and stopped propping up local separatist movements things would’ve been calmer in some of those places, like in Vietnam right now.

              Its definitely possible I’ll eat my words because the world is getting scary and chaotic, and I’m not sure how other powers will act without US restraint, but hey, maybe it won’t be worse. Maybe it’ll be better. God I hope so lol.

    • HorseRabbit@lemmy.sdf.org
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      8 months ago

      Weird way to assign blame. It’s not the Democratic party’s fault for having bad policies, it’s the public’s fault for not supporting the Democrats regardless of their policies. If Biden loses it’s because his party made bad decisions.

      • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        It’s just how liberal centrists sheild themselves from self-reflection. They know there are people to their left, and engaging with their ideas might make them realize their policies and candidates cause harm, so they decide to dismiss them out of hand as aiding the right. This creates a safe narrative where they’re always the good guy; people to their right are dangerous lunatics, people to their left are naive fools who are unintentionally helping the lunatics, and they’re the only ones behaving responsibly. This allows them to condemn people calling for the end of a genocide without engaging with the fact that their candidate is enabling a genocide.

      • RGB3x3@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        That’s rich. The onus is not on the people to support the Party over policy, it’s the responsibility of the Party to appeal to the people.

        We shouldn’t be blaming voters for the failings of the party and its politicians.

    • xor@infosec.pub
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      8 months ago

      i’ve been watching this freight train loom ever closer and… thank you for seeing it too…
      this is the albatross around the neck of biden… and it’s killing my soul
      i know, in my heart, trump would’ve done the same thing, and many worse things…
      but ffs, why are the liberals completely blind to a blatant genocide?

    • Verdant Banana@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      maybe the democrats should nut up and put a real non corpo candidate up to bat

      also people like biden and trump took my vote away so do not get to participate in this “democracy”

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I think taking the delegates from NH because moderates keep losing to progressives is a bigger deal that will effect turnout.

      Biden’s and the DNC’s excuse that the state Dem party wasn’t able to convince the Republicans running NH into changing the law that NH has to schedule primaries first is an incredibly flimsy excuse.

      There was nothing the NH Dem party could do to comply with the DNC.

      And of all people, Biden should have been understanding that Dems can’t force Republicans to do something they don’t want to do.

      Just making the demand to begin with was incredibly fucked up.

      It was an impossible demand, and they act like it was an easy thing that the state party could somehow do with a snap of their fingers.

      The only way it could have happened, is if the Dem party broke state law.

      And a national party demanding a state party break their own laws to give the favored candidate an advantage is something I honestly thought would just be a Republican thing at least for a couple more elections cycles.

    • alvvayson@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      You could also argue, if Biden loses it will be because of his uncritical support for Israeli war crimes.

      Nobody is forcing Biden to alienate his base.

      And, although I personally don’t believe Joe is supporting genocide, it’s not very realistic to expect people to vote for someone who (in their mind) is supporting genocide.

      • GodlessCommie@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Increasing funding to Israel, publicly say there is no red line Israel could cross where they wouldnt have US support, bypassing Congress 2 times to transfer weapons is unequivocally supporting genocide.

      • acceptable_pumpkin@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        No, if Biden loses, it’s because of foolish Americans who either voted for Trump or threw away their votes. What comes next with Trump is on their heads. You can’t not vote for Biden, then say what happens with Trump isn’t your fault.

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        8 months ago

        The article you’re commenting under is about people who care about Palestine.

        What a stupid, useless thing to say.

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            8 months ago

            You’re probably right sadly… People will blame that if Biden doesn’t get elected, but I don’t think it’ll sway things at all. Only the terminally online like us and redditors care about Palestinians.