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Except amazon would immediately take the other side of the bet, and then manipulate the market.
And we would know that and follow their bet.
Win win win
I came here to reply this. They would play the system if it ever had enough people betting.
Taken to it’s furthest, people would be running delivery vans off the road and calling in bomb threats to package hubs
Haha at least they would have to pay the delivery people well ^^
We’d have to get around the gambling aspect of it and call it insurance
Oh, wait, insurance is already legal gambling, where the house always wins