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federal reverse@feddit.org to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net · 1 month ago

Earth's energy balance is rising much faster than scientists predicted, and we have no idea why | LiveScience

www.livescience.com

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Earth's energy balance is rising much faster than scientists predicted, and we have no idea why | LiveScience

www.livescience.com

federal reverse@feddit.org to Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net · 1 month ago
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Earth's energy balance is rising much faster than scientists predicted, and we have no idea why
www.livescience.com
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For reasons still unknown, Earth's energy imbalance is rising much faster than models can account for. Now, scientists are calling for long-term investment in monitoring capability, so that they can make informed predictions about climate change.
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  • Dogyote@slrpnk.net
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    29 days ago

    We’re going to need the damn aerosols back, aren’t we

  • Asetru@feddit.org
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    29 days ago

    Could this be related to climate scientists excluding models that predict higher temperatures?

Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.@slrpnk.net

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.

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